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Unmaking the West: "What-If?" Scenarios That Rewrite World History
What if the Persians had won at Salamis? What if Christ had not been crucified? What if the Chinese had harnessed steam power before the West? Disparaged by some as a mere parlor game, counterfactual history is seen by others as an indispensable historical tool. Taking as their point of inquiry the debate over the inevitability of the rise of the West, the eminent scholars in Unmaking the West argue that there is no escaping counterfactual history. Whenever we make claims of cause and effect, we commit ourselves to the assumption that if key links in the causal chain were broken, history would have unfolded otherwise. Likewise, without counterfactual history we all too easily slip into the habit of hindsight bias, forgetting, as soon as we learn what happened, how unpredictable the world looked beforehand, and closing our minds to all the ways the course might have changed. This collection is thus both an exploration of alternative scenarios to world history and an exercise in testing the strengths and weaknesses of counterfactual experiments. "If ever there was an argument for the usefulness of counterfactual history, this admirable, and admirably focused, collection has convincingly made it." —Robert Cowley, editor of the What If?TM series "With chapters ranging from politics to war to religion to economics and to science and technology, this is the most thematically wide-ranging collection on counterfactuality. An intelligent, cutting-edge study with important things to say." —Jonathan C. D. Clark, Department of History, University of Kansas "This volume is likely to become a standard reference in the literature on historical methodology, and could have a dramatic impact on the way future generations of historians approach disciplinary inquiry. . . . By allowing readers to share in the doubts and epiphanies that lead up to the authors' epistemological revelations, the volume allows readers to grasp the rich potential of approaching their own research from a counterfactual perspective."
—Aaron Belkin, Associate Professor of Political Science, University of California, Santa Barbara
Philip E. Tetlock is Mitchell Professor, Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, and author of Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? Richard Ned Lebow is James O. Freedman Presidential Professor of Government at Dartmouth College and author of The Tragic Vision of Politics: Ethics, Interests and Orders, winner of the Alexander L. George Award for the best book in political psychology. Geoffrey Parker is Andreas Dorpalen Professor of History at Ohio State University, a Fellow of the British Academy, and author of The Military Revolution: Military Innovation and the Rise of the West, 1500-1800, winner of two book prizes.
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Price: $26.95
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Beginning Excel What-If Data Analysis Tools: Getting Started with Goal Seek, Data Tables, Scenarios, and Solver
Excels "what-if" data analysis tools let you experiment with your data to project future results In turn, these predictions will lead to better decision making and unlock the mystery of many business analysis scenarios. For example, what-if data analysis tools will enable you to forecast how lowering the price per unitwhile increasing projected unit salesmight affect your profit margins. Beginning Excel What-If Data Analysis Tools explores the use of Goal Seek, Data Tables, Scenarios, and Solver to help you get insight on your data. This book is focused and to the point, and it provides tutorial treatment of what-if tools in a practical, hands-on manner. .
Price: $0.99
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Scared Silly: Taking on Your Fears, Worries, and What-ifs
There's a plague that strikes an alarming number of people everyday, robbing them of hope, joy, peace, and health. It's a pestilence worse than famine, fire, flood, or telemarketing calls. OK, maybe not telemarketing calls. Author Marcy Bryan understands the plague of fears, worries, and what-ifs. If you struggle with anxiety, feelings of hopelessness, or the constant cravings for a chocolate IV, Marcy can help. In Scared Silly she goes after these nasties (including the sly enemy who is responsible for them!) with useful tips and tricks, pithy sayings, and most importantly Spirit-given insight and godly wisdom all punctuated with laugh-out loud humor. This book is so important...it's scary..
Price: $7.70
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Applications of HAZOP and What-If Safety Reviews to the Petroleum, Petrochemical and Chemical Industries
This publication is intended to provide guidance to HAZOP (Hazard and Operability) and What-If review teams associated with the petroleum, petrochemical and chemical industries. It describes the nature, responsibilities, methods and documentation required in the performance of such reviews. This ensures the reviews are conducted in a timely, effective and professional manner as may be prescribed by a company's Process Safety Management (PSM) Policy. This book can be used as a practical reference to prepare the safety review requirements for these industries and their process safety management systems. HAZOP and What-If reviews are basically a communication exercise. Information is presented, discussed, analyzed and recorded. Specifically the safety aspects are identified, to determine if adequate design measures have been taken to prevent major accidents. The safety of petroleum and chemical facilities is an important part of a company's operations. Recent worldwide petrochemical safety regulations and a company's own process safety management policies would require that a process hazard analysis (PHA) review of its existing and proposed petroleum operations be accomplished. The limits of hazardous substances cited by both the U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) regulations dictate the applications of process safety management elements at almost all of a company's facilities. These reviews are intended to reduce the probability and/or consequences of a major incident that would have a detrimental impact to the employees, the public's well being, onsite or offsite properties, the environment, and most important to a company itself, its continued business operation and survival. Process hazard analysis reviews are not intended to identify the minor "slips, trips, or falls"; these are the responsibility of the company's general safety requirements and are well established. The process hazard analysis is looking for the major incidents which have the potential for severe impacts. HAZOP and What-If reviews are two of the most common petroleum and chemical industries qualitative methods used to conduct process hazard analyses. Up to 80% of a company's process hazard analyses may consist of HAZOP and What-If reviews with the remainder 20% from checklist, Fault Tree Analysis, Event Tree, Failure Mode and Effects Analysis, etc. An experienced review team can use the analysis to generate possible deviations from design, construction, modification, and operating intent that define potential consequences. These consequences can then be prevented and/or mitigated by the application of the appropriate safeguards. .
Price: $103.99
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Safety and Security Review for the Process Industries: Application of HAZOP, PHA and What-If Reviews
This book describes the application of major safety reviews used in the process industries (principally petroleum, petrochemical, chemical industries, nuclear installations, utility systems, and medical facilities). It provides guidance on qualitative hazard analyses, specifically for PHA (Preliminary Hazard Analysis), What-If, and HAZOP (Hazard and Operability) for review teams. OSHA and EPA as well as national governments all over the world, require industry to conduct these reviews to help prevent major catastrophic fire, explosions and oil spillages. In 2007, the Department of Homeland Security in the United States issued new standards with regard to the security of chemical facilities. This new edition documents how the methodology and procedures used for the hazard reviews can be adopted and applied for Security Vulnerability Analysis (SVA)..
Price: $126.00
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The Y2K Pantry: How to Feed Your Family if the "What-Ifs" Happen
Are you prepared to feed your family if and when an emergency comes your way? The possible sitations that face the world as the year 2000 approaches could keep you home for a few days, or weeks. Would you have an adequate food and water supply set aside for an emergency? If not, you need to consider to begin your own food pantry. Having the foresight to plan properly before a storm is knowledge. Applying the principles is wisdom. The Y2K Pantry can help encourage you to set aside a few items each week to build up an emergency food supply. Every family, no matter if you are single or have a bunch of kids like Cynthia, should have an emergency pantry. It's sad to say that many families live on the edge. They have learned to live one day at a time only purchasing what they need (want) when they need (want) it without having an adequate pantry or long-term supply closet..
Price: $20.00
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The What-if Challenge.: An article from: Risk & Insurance
This digital document is an article from Risk & Insurance, published by Axon Group on February 1, 2001. The length of the article is 2198 words. The page length shown above is based on a typical 300-word page. The article is delivered in HTML format and is available in your Amazon.com Digital Locker immediately after purchase. You can view it with any web browser. Citation DetailsTitle: The What-if Challenge. Author: Tom Starner Publication:Risk & Insurance (Magazine/Journal) Date: February 1, 2001 Publisher: Axon Group Volume: 12 Issue: 2 Page: A16 Distributed by Thomson Gale.
Price: $5.95
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