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Plight of the Fortune Tellers: Why We Need to Manage Financial Risk Differently
Today's top financial-risk professionals have come to rely on ever-more sophisticated mathematics in their attempts to come to grips with financial risk. But this excessive reliance on quantitative precision is misleading--and it puts us all at risk. This is the case that Riccardo Rebonato makes in Plight of the Fortune Tellers--and coming from someone who is both an experienced market professional and an academic, this heresy is worth listening to. Rebonato forcefully argues that we must restore genuine decision making to our financial planning, and he shows us how to do it using probability, experimental psychology, and decision theory. This is the only way to effectively manage financial risk in a manner congruent with how human beings actually react to chance. Rebonato challenges us to rethink the standard wisdom about probability in financial-risk management. Risk managers have become obsessed with measuring risk and believe that these quantitative results by themselves can guide sound financial choices--but they can't. In this book, Rebonato offers a radical yet surprisingly commonsense solution, one that seeks to remind us that managing risk comes down to real people making decisions under uncertainty. Plight of the Fortune Tellers is not only a book for the decision makers of Wall Street, it's a must-read for anyone concerned about how today's financial markets are run. The stakes have never been higher--can you risk it? .
Price: $23.10
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The Portion Teller Plan: The No Diet Reality Guide to Eating, Cheating, and Losing Weight Permanently
The Portion Teller Plan is a sensible eating guide and the end of diet deprivation No forbidden foods, no calorie counting. Welcome to diet liberation. Would you ever consider going to the kitchen in the morning and grabbing five slices of bread for breakfast? No? Just one bagel is more like it, right? Well, your morning bagel is equivalent to eating five slices of bread. Your steak at dinner is equal to the protein in eighteen eggs. And that huge bowl of pasta you had at lunch is anybody’s guess. Nobody likes to cut back but the cold hard facts are in: Portion sizes have steadily increased over the past thirty years and our collective waistlines are ballooning right along with them. You may need to eat a little less if you want to lose weight, but with The Portion Teller Plan you can eat all of your favorite foods. Nutrition and portion size expert Dr. Lisa Young presents an individualized guide to eating according to your portion personality and food preferences. You’ll learn a simple system of visuals–a deck of cards, a baseball, your own hand–to help gauge portion size. You’ll be able to eat out, eat in, cheat, and eat on the road without ever being a portion victim again..
Price: $8.25
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Rogue Angel: Teller of Tall Tales (Rogue Angel (Unnumbered))
Annja Creed is a world-traveling archeologist who also happens to be the heir to Joan of Arc's mystic sword. In this debut story, Annja's drive to explore unrecorded, shadowy history leads her to Virginia City in search of a rumored manuscript that could change the public perception of Mark Twain forever. But a very powerful mystery man doesn't want anyone to find the truth, and will stop at nothing - not even murder - to keep Annja away from the answers she seeks..
Price: $12.74
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The Rough Guide to Jordan - 3rd Edition (Rough Guide Travel Guides)
The Rough Guide to Jordan is the essential guide to the Middle East’s most fascinating destination. The guide opens with a 24-page, full-colour section showcasing Jordan’s highlights, from the wilderness of Wadi Run and the magic of Petra to the new developments in Aqaba and Amman’s sophisticated dining scene. The main heart of the guide includes detailed reviews on all the best hotels, cafés and restaurants, whether you’re travelling on a budget or travelling in style. There is plenty of practical tips for adventure activities, including diving, camping, camel treks and balloon trips. The guide also takes a thorough look at Jordan’s colourful background with unique features on literature, art and women in Jordanian society. There are also detailed maps and plans for all regions..
Price: $12.81
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The Portion Teller: Smartsize Your Way to Permanent Weight Loss
Would you ever consider going to the kitchen in the morning and grabbing five slices of bread for breakfast? No? Just one bagel or perhaps a bran muffin is more like it, right? Well, think again. Your morning bagel or muffin is probably equivalent to eating five slices of bread, maybe more. That’s most of your grain servings for the day. And, that steak you ate last night? For all the calories and protein you consumed, you might as well have eaten 18 eggs. More than double the amount of protein you need in a day. Surprised at just how much you are eating? Dr. Lisa Young isn’t. She has been studying how Americans eat for more than a decade, and what she found is astonishing. Portion sizes have subtly and steadily increased over the past thirty years and are now two to five times larger than they were in the past. Even the average dinner plate has grown several inches to accommodate more food. The portions we’re served are getting bigger and we keep eating. The end result? That’s right. Americans are getting fatter. So what should you do about it? You may think that counting calories, fat grams, or even eliminating entire food groups such as grains is the way to keep this trend toward colossal cuisine from making you fat. The problem is, you don’t know how many calories, fat, and carbs are in your favorite foods. No one does, not even the experts. When nutritionists were shown several restaurant meals in a survey, not one person was able to accurately guess the calorie or fat content of the meals. In The Portion Teller, you’ll develop portion-size awareness and learn how to lose weight without weighing food or counting calories. Using simple visuals such as a deck of cards, a yo-yo, a baseball, and even your own hand, you’ll find out what a serving size is supposed to look like and how many servings you can eat per day from each food group. The visuals are easy to use: If your piece of salmon at dinner is about the size of three decks of cards, you’ve eaten all your meat and fish servings for the day. The plan is easy. You’ll keep a food diary for a short time to get you started. Once you learn how to size-up your favorite foods with the visuals, Lisa’s Portion Personalities show you how stumbling blocks can be easily overcome. Are you a See Food Eater who can’t stop yourself at the sight of food or a Special Occasion Victim who can’t resist that cake at an office party or a Volume Eater who always wants her plate to be full? As a long-time nutrition counselor, Young gives real-world solutions for tackling your bad habits. There’s a cheater’s guide, for those who must satisfy that late-night chocolate craving, as well as a survival guide for eating out and daily meal plans. No forbidden foods, no calorie counting, no food weighing. The Portion Teller isn’t a diet—it’s a sensible eating plan and the end of diet deprivation. Welcome to diet liberation..
Price: $2.89
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Field Guide to the U.S. Economy: A Compact and Irreverent Guide to Economic Life in America, Revised and Updated Edition
The twenty-first-century handbook to the myths and realities of the U.S. economy Extensively revised and expanded with the most up-to-the-minute data, this new edition of the Field Guide to the U.S. Economy brings key economic issues to life, reflecting the collective wit and wisdom of the more than forty progressive economists affiliated with the Center for Popular Economics. User-friendly and accessible, the book covers a wide range of subjects, including workers, women, people of color, government spending, welfare, education, health, the environment, macroeconomics, and the global economy, as well as brand-new material on the war in Iraq, the Department of Homeland Security, lotteries, the prison-industrial complex, foreign aid, the environment, and pharmaceutical companies. This new edition includes cartoons or artwork on every page, along with a glossary and analytical tool kit to help readers along the way..
Price: $2.40
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A Fortune-Teller Told Me: Earthbound Travels in the Far East
“An utterly charming and engaging travel book that offers vivid portraits of unusual corners of Asia, told by a skilled raconteur whose eyes were open wide.” — Los Angeles Times Book ReviewWarned by a Hong Kong fortune-teller not to risk flying for an entire year, Tiziano Terzani—a vastly experienced Asia correspondent—took what he called “the first step into an unknown world. . . . It turned out to be one of the most extraordinary years I have ever spent: I was marked for death, and instead I was reborn.” Traveling by foot, boat, bus, car, and train, he visited Burma, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, China, Mongolia, Japan, Indonesia, Singapore, and Malaysia. Geography expanded under his feet. He consulted soothsayers, sorcerers, and shamans and received much advice—some wise, some otherwise—about his future. With time to think, he learned to understand, respect, and fear for older ways of life and beliefs now threatened by the crasser forms of Western modernity. He rediscovered a place he had been reporting on for decades. And reinvigorated himself in the process..
Price: $8.44
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The Fortune-Tellers (Picture Puffin Books)
This original folktale set in Cameroon is full of adventure and sly humor. Lloyd Alexander's story of a young man visiting--and then becoming--the village fortune-teller is brought to vibrant life with some of Caldecott Medalist Trina Schart Hyman's most memorable artwork. Boston Globe/Horn Book Award. New York Times Best Illustrated Book of the Year. School Library Journal Best Book of the Year. Full color..
Price: $3.75
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The Truth Teller
A five-year-old boy can sense who is telling the truth...and who isn't. It's a gift some will do anything to silence and a mother will do anything to protect. Lara Godfrey desperately wants to have a child--a living legacy from her late husband. Placing her life in the hands of a doctor she believes she can trust, Lara doesn't relize a web of deception is being woven around her. An unseen voyeur, with dreams of immortality, plans to use the child for a test--an unbelievable experiment that could have genetic consequences not only for Lara's baby, but for the entire human race. In the face of danger, Lara must make impossible choices. That's why she flees the clinic before the baby's birth. It's why she changes her name and hides. She knows she must protect this gifted child who can see through lies and identify truth. Yet how can an innocent truth-telling boy survive in a world that wants to destroy truth at any cost? .
Price: $8.52
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The Story Teller (A Wind River Reservation Myste)
Praised for her vivid characterizations and unique blend of mystery and Indian lore, Margaret Coel has gifted her readers with a glimpse into the law, ethics, and culture of the Arapaho people. Now in The Story Teller she brings back Arapaho attorney Vicky Holden and confidante Father John O'Malley to reclaim a sacred treasure of the past....
Price: $2.25
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